Saturday, November 14, 2009

Reflections on the IU opener

I'm watching the Hoosiers football team take on Penn State (the Hoosiers are up 10-0 early), but I'm more excited to talk about the IU basketball team.

Tom Crean's "Baby Hoosiers" beat Howard convincingly on Friday, 83-60. The game was close early, but IU made a run late in the first half and led by 17 at the break. While it's difficult to really determine how good this team will be, there are signs it could be special.

Christian Watford, the highly-touted freshman forward, has a lot of potential. He is a little lanky and probably will struggle against teams like Michigan State and Purdue, but I like his athleticism and his speed. He reminds me a little of Jared Jefferies. Last night he scored 14 points and grabbed 11 rebounds. Not bad for playing only 24 minutes.

Last year, IU's post play was lacking and it showed. It already appears much improved. Freshman Derek Elston also played well underneath as did sophomore Tom Pritchard.

I really liked junior Jeremiah Rivers at point guard. He brings a lot of speed to the game that the Hoosiers did not have last year and was looking to distribute the ball all night. He also made a spectacular reverse layup that wowed the crowd.

Crean appeared to be using the game to help determine his regular starting lineup and did not play anyone longer than 26 minutes. I think Watford, Pritchard, and Rivers played like starters. The other two guard spots should rotate between Devan Dumes, Verdell Jones, Maurice Creek.

I know they are only freshmen, but I think Crean could end up starting three or four freshmen going forward this season. I could definitely see Elston and Creek starting a few games this year, and both should see a lot of playing time.

As you might expect, the Hoosiers need to improve their rebounding. They only got two more boards than Howard last night. To complete in the Big Ten, that stat will have to improve. The Hoosiers also had 16 turnovers, which can't happen against better teams.

Overall, this team already appears much improved from last year. If they continue improving throughout the year, IU will scare a lot of opponents.

Saturday, November 7, 2009

Hall of Fame weekend in Bloomington

The Hoosiers honored Bob Knight, Jerry Yeagley and the rest of the IU Hall of Fame class of 2009 last night. Knight was not there. The more pressing business now is the football game against Wisconsin this afternoon.

Indianapolis Star IU writer Terry Hutchens wrote about IU's second half offensive struggles this week. I'm glad someone finally asked that question. I had been waiting all season for an answer.

The Badgers present a different problem for the IU defense. Wisconsin runs first and often. They average nearly 195 yards rushing per game, less than four yards per game than they average passing. This comes after spending the last two weeks dealing with pass-happy Northwestern and Iowa, which won the game on two big pass plays.

The more conservative Badger attack likely will equate to long drives, leaving the IU defense on the field for huge chunks at a time. It also means the Hoosiers' offense will be on the bench for long periods, unable to score.

The key to this game will be the IU defense's ability to force three-and-outs to stay in the game. Unfortunately, this sets up for a second half collapse. IU's defensive players will no doubt wear down late, letting Wisconsin have those long drives for touchdowns.

IU has had Wisconsin's number in recent games in Bloomington. I think the Hoosiers keep it close and may even have the lead at halftime, but can't sustain it late. It's another 30-minute victory. Wisconsin wins 24-13.

Saturday, October 31, 2009

Oh my

I am speechless...

I didn't think it could get worse than last week's loss to Northwestern. Before that I didn't think it could get any worse than the loss to Virgina. And before that I didn't it could get worse than the loss to Michigan.

But apparently it can get worse.

Despite forcing six turnovers, the Hoosiers blew a 10 point lead in the fourth quarter and lost to Iowa 42-24. The IU defense got four turnovers in the third quarter. Yet, they still allowed the Hawkeyes to score two touchdowns on one-play drives in the fourth. It was part of a collapse that included giving up 28 unanswered points in the quarter.

Bill Lynch received the support of Athletic Director Fred Glass earlier this week, with Glass saying he would honor the remainder of Lynch's contract. But I still feel he has to be on the hot seat, at least with the fans an alumni.

This wasn't a last-second loss. This wasn't a loss because of a tough call on the road. This was a flat-out collapse. A big-time choke. It was as if the switch was flipped when the fourth quarter started and IU said it was time to blow it. The final score doesn't even indicate that Iowa trailed for more than three quarters. The Hoosiers were outscored 35-3 in the second half.

I am just a fan and I don't much about football. But I can't see how there is any reason this should have happened. This game was shaping up as the greatest IU football win in more than 40 years. Instead it's just another embarrassing loss. Are the Hoosiers just the most unlucky college football team ever? There's no way Iowa is that lucky.

As I said, I am speechless.

Are you read for a beat down?

It's hard to get excited about IU's noon kick-off today at No. 4 Iowa. The Hawkeyes are undefeated and looking to continue a run to the Rose Bowl or National Championship. Meanwhile, the Hoosiers are in the midst of their (now traditional) conference season slide.

Iowa is a 17 1/2-point favorite. The only real question is whether the team will be completely focused after the literally last-second win at Michigan State last week. Next week Iowa plays Northwestern and then on Nov. 14 travels to Columbus, Ohio for the unofficial Big Ten title game.

Are the Hawkeyes going to be looking ahead this week? Probably not. The Hawkeyes are a little banged up -- they're without leading rusher Adam Robinson and will be starting some freshman at key positions. But head coach Kirk Ferentz is among the best coaches in the country. He will have his team ready.

The key to this game will be defense. Iowa allows less than 15 points per game, while the Hoosiers allow more than 26. If the Hoosiers can put Iowa quarterback Ricky Stanzi on the ground and keep the running game under control, they may be able to hang around.

But IU's offense will have to score points in both halves if they want to pull the upset. Scoring 21 points in the first quarter and expecting the defense to hold the lead the rest of the game is not going to cut it. It certainly didn't work last week.

I think the Hoosier defense plays well, but the offense never gets on track. Iowa wins 17-3.

By the way, I'll be updating on Twitter, at least until the game gets out of control.

Friday, October 30, 2009

A more pleasant subject

While I continue to lament the symbolic end of football season, the good news is there are only five days until the men's basketball team begins its season.

The first game is Wednesday: an exhibition against Grace College. Ironically, Grace is in Winona Lake, about an 45 minutes west of Fort Wayne. Unfortunately, that game, as well as the other exhibition against St. Joseph's College of Indiana will be nothing more than lay-ups.

I do not expect to learn much about this team until later in the month, when the Hoosiers head to Puerto Rico for the O'Reilly Auto Parts Puerto Rico Tip Off. The Hoosiers take on Ole Miss Nov. 19 in the first round of the tournament.

The Rebels were 16-15 last year, after suffering several injuries. This year, the team is expected to be much better and is picked to finish second in the SEC West division. This game will be an important measuring stick for the development of IU's now veteran sophomores and junior college transfers, as well as its heralded recruiting class.

The big test before the conference season begins will come in early December. Three games in two weeks: versus Maryland in Bloomington, versus Pittsburgh in New York, and versus Kentucky in Bloomington.

The Maryland game will be on ESPN2 as part of the ACC-Big Ten challenge. The Pitt game is on ESPN as part of the Jimmy V Classic and the UK game is a rivalry game on CBS. All three are national TV games, all three against top-tier programs. I'll find out how good they are after these three games. An upset of any of these teams would be a big step forward.

Big Ten play begins New Year's Eve and that road will be anything but smooth.

After I saw the pre-season AP and coaches' polls, I was surprised to find six Big Ten teams in the AP and five in the coaches' poll. And Michigan State and Purdue were both ranked in the top 10. If the voters are correct, this could be one of the toughest Big Ten seasons ever.

That doesn't lend a whole lot of confidence in the Hoosiers rebounding for a 20-win season this year. But I still think the team could finish better than .500 and possible get into the NIT. If they get a few breaks and the freshmen play better than expected, who knows, the Hoosiers could be dancing in March.

Saturday, October 24, 2009

Football season over

This loss hurts more than the blow-out at Virginia. The Hoosiers were up 28-3 half way through the second quarter, but still managed to lose to Northwestern, 29-28.

The Hoosiers gave up 14 points in the final 4 minutes of the first half to give the Wildcats hope, then did not score a point in the second half. The offense was stopped on 4th and goal from the 1 yard line in the third quarter, which likely sealed the loss. Northwestern had turned the ball over for a second time in the quarter and still were down 28-19 after IU had a punt blocked for a safety.

An IU touchdown would have put the game out of reach and a field goal would have increased the lead to 12. Instead the Hoosiers got no points and Northwestern converted the turnover into a touchdown, which cut the deficit to two.

The winning score came on a Northwestern field goal with 21 seconds left. Unfortunately, I can't fault the IU defense for its inability to stop the Wildcats when the game was on the line. The Hoosiers forced three turnovers in the second half, which the IU offense could not convert into points. Northwestern gave the Hoosiers opportunities to put the game away, but IU refused to finish.

I think the story of the 2009 Hoosiers is they are a 30-minute team. The Hoosiers were able to play well in the first half, but consistently fell apart in the second. An inability to finish caused losses to Northwestern and Michigan and made several other games closer than they should have been.

Barring two miracle wins in the next four games, the IU season is essentially over. The Hoosiers play Iowa, Wisconsin and Penn State before finishing the year at home against Purdue. Now that the Boilers are playing better these past two weeks, it is entirely possible the Hoosiers could lose out. Fortunately for me, that would mean my season prediction (4-8) would be correct.

Maybe that's not such a bad thing. I think the coaching staff needs to be changed and head coach Bill Lynch is in the last year of his deal. Lynch and his staff always seem to have great game plans at kick-off. But when opponents make adjustments, the IU coaches don't seem to be able to counter. Northwestern clearly made an offensive and defensive adjustment when IU took the early lead. Throughout the second half, IU seemed to play right into Wildcats' hands.

Throughout the season, it has not been superior opponents like Ohio State that have stymied the Hoosiers. Eastern Kentucky and Northwestern did not allow any IU points in the second half. IU was 1-1 in those games and both games were decided by a touchdown or less.

Western Michigan, Michigan, Ohio State, and Virginia also outscored IU in the second half. The Hoosiers were 1-3 in those games, including two that were decided by four points or less.

It is an alarming statistic, especially given the talent IU has on both sides of the ball this year. To me, it means someone is unwilling or unable to change when the other team figures out the game plan. It is not coaching that long-term will help rebuild the IU football program.

Sunday, October 18, 2009

Two wins to go and the Wildcat QB

The Hoosiers improved to 4-3 with a somewhat convincing win over Illinois, moving two wins from bowl eligibility.

Once again, the Hoosier defense set up the clinching scores in the second half. Illini QB Juice Williams fumbled twice, including one deep in IU territory, which the Hoosiers converted to touchdowns. The IU offense also looked much better, with Hoosier QB Ben Chappell throwing for 333 yards and three touchdowns. Running back Darius Willis also returned to the lineup, rushing for 58 yards.

The Hoosiers this week travel to Northwestern, where they will have to prove they can beat a team on the road that is better than Akron. A loss next week, and fans can fully shift their focus to basketball season.

An interesting side note on Saturday night's win. Yes, Chappell played likely the best game of his college career last night. But Mitchell Evans also impressed when he moved into the quarterback spot in Wildcat formations.

Evans did not complete a pass in two attempts, but ran for 84 yards on nine rushes. He is clearly faster than Chappell and a big asset in the pistol offense the Hoosiers run, which is a version of the spread attack in use around college football.

I'm wondering if Evans would be a better regular quarterback in the Hoosier system than Chappell. No question, Chappell can make all the necessary throws. He made a really pretty 44-yard pass to Tandon Doss in the fourth quarter that put the game away. But Chappell cannot run effectively if the pocket closes. The IU coaches also can't call the designed QB runs that are a staple of most spread offenses with Chappell in the game.

Just look at Illinois: Williams ran for 54 yards against the Hoosiers last night, the second most on the team. Florida QB Tim Tebow does almost all the offensive work for the Gators and Michigan QB Tate Forcier is as much a threat to run as he is to pass.

Evans, a junior, began last season as a quarterback, but moved to wide receiver. He came to IU having played QB and safety in high school.

At this point, Evans has only six pass attempts for the season with two completions. But he also has 125 yards rushing and is averaging more than six yards a carry. Am I suggesting Chappell should be benched as the starting QB? No. But I just wonder if Evans could be a better and more complete QB in the pistol system if he took more snaps.

I don't think any changes will be made at this point. It's just something to think about.

Saturday, October 17, 2009

Clean slate

It's homecoming in Bloomington and the Hoosiers will take on Illinois at 7 p.m.

Many fans likely are more interested in the men's basketball practice underway at the time of this post that is open to the public. But after the last week's debacle at Virginia, the Hoosier football team has a clean slate with six games to go. The team is 3-3 and while the team has looked downright awful at times, and we would like to think the season is over, there still is something to play for.

The Hoosiers could regain some confidence against an Illinois team that has played just as bad this year. The Illini are 1-4 on the season and 0-3 in the Big Ten. Quarterback Juice Williams was benched two weeks ago because of poor play and the team has been in a general disarray. The Illinois offense, its strength coming into the season, has scored more than 17 points in a game only once all year.

Of course, the IU defense has been the cure for many teams' offensive problems. That includes Virginia, which had not done much of anything offensively all season before beating the Hoosiers to a pulp. If the IU team that played Michigan shows up this weekend, they should beat Illinois. If the team that played last week is on the field, it will be another drubbing.

After this weekend, there may be only two winnable games left: at Northwestern next week and against Purdue Nov. 21. That would get the Hoosiers to .500 for the season and at least bowl eligible. Unfortunately, a win at home against Purdue became somewhat less likely this week with the Boilers' win over Ohio State.

Side note: More than 13,000 fans attended the Hoosier Hysteria basketball practice last night. Photos and other information here.

Saturday, October 10, 2009

Total, complete breakdown

The IU athletic department may be wishing it didn't have to pay the travel expenses to Charlottesville, Va. The Hoosiers didn't play like they deserved the trip, losing 44-0 to Virginia heading into the fourth quarter.

I look like an idiot for predicting a convincing IU win. The Hoosiers lost the game on the first drive, when, after five plays, they turned the ball over. Virginia turned it into a touchdown four plays later. Virginia rolled up 337 yards 30 points in the first half.

Indiana never appeared a part of this game. And the defense appeared totally unprepared or unable to handle the UVA offense. Every Virginia receiver caught a pass with no defenders in the area and every running back had wide holes to run through. Simple plays went for big yards every time.

Meanwhile, every IU receiver caught a pass with five defenders ready to tackle him and every running back struggled to gain more than a yard. Quarterback Ben Chappell did not have much time to throw because on nearly every play defenders were running at him untouched.

This was a clunker at a time when the Hoosiers could not afford one. I'm afraid the Hoosiers may already have peaked this year and now are declining to the finish. This level of play will not win another game this season.

Maybe the talent levels are finally settling out for the season. IU was playing above their level the first five weeks, while Virginia was playing below it.

Next game: against Illinois 7 p.m. Oct. 17.

Update: Final score: UVA wins 47-7. Total yards: UVA-536, IU-267.

Unfamiliar territory: Indiana-Virginia pre-game

The Hoosiers, and their fans, find themselves in an awkward position awaiting the 3:30 p.m. kick-off against Virginia. This match-up has become a must-win.

It's awkward because the Hoosiers haven't been in too many must-win games in the last 15 years. The last one came in 2007, when IU had to beat Purdue to secure a bowl bid.

This game became important when the Hoosiers won their first three games and nearly beat Michigan in week 4. All the sudden, the talk of post-season berth began, which just about everyone laughed about before the season started.

IU has been dismissed as irrelevant week after week despite its decent play. Again this week, they find themselves a road underdog. The spread is seven points, which astonishes me. Virginia lost to William and Mary and then No. 16 TCU at home, and Southern Mississippi on the road. They upset North Carolina on the road last week to get their first win, but I think IU again is underrated.

If home-field advantage is worth a field goal, I don't think Virginia is four points better than Indiana. Virginia has been outscored 78-96 on the season, while IU has outscored its opponents 127-122. The Cavaliers offense also has passed for 717 yards and rushed for 372 through four games, an average of 179 and 93 yards passing and rushing, respectively, per game.

The Hoosiers offense has been much more productive, averaging 233 and 131 yards passing and rushing, respectively, per game. And that has been against arguably better competition.

ESPN's Lee Corso, a former IU football coach, said Virginia should be on upset alert this week. I think IU will open some more eyes and show this win should not be considered an upset. They don't blow out Virginia, but remain in control of the game throughout.

Quarterback Ben Chappell and wide receiver Tandon Doss put points on the board and running back Demetrius McCray grinds out the clock. IU overcomes the Cavaliers' new confidence and their quarterback Jameel Sewell.

The Hoosiers move to 4-2 and complete a perfect non-conference season. IU wins 31-17.

The game is not on TV, but is available on ESPN360.com. I'm going to try to watch it on my computer, but absent that, I will be listening to the radio call and giving updates on Twitter.

Sunday, October 4, 2009

Back to reality

After watching Ohio State beat the Hoosiers thanks to only one player, I have mixed emotions.

Quarterback Terrell Pryor accounted for four touchdowns, three throwing and one rushing, which was more than enough to stop the Hoosiers. IU lost 33-14, but did not close to within 19 points until the last few seconds, when the offense scored a meaningless touchdown.

IU had to play a near-perfect game to upset the No. 9 Buckeyes and did not. Far from it. Two interceptions and a fumble killed three drives. IU was hanging around in the first half, thanks to OSU mistakes. The Buckeyes were up 10-0 quickly, but missed two field goals, which would have put the game out of reach. IU put together an impressive touchdown drive to close to within 10-7, but Ohio State scored a TD three plays later to push the lead back to 10. A Buckeye touchdown late in the second quarter off an interception probably was the knock-out blow.

I wish the team that pushed Michigan to the brink last week had showed up for this game. Last week's Hoosiers made 1.5 mistakes -- a missed field goal and the questionable interception late in the fourth quarter -- and proved their best game was good enough to win. I think if IU played OSU the same way, with few mistakes, the game would have been a lot closer.

I was eager to see what the Hoosiers' best game could do against Ohio State. And while an upset was unlikely, the Buckeye offense was not overpowering, at least not at first. Who knows what would have happened if IU had not committed the turnovers in the first half.

The good news is the toughest part of the schedule is over. IU travels to Virginia Oct. 10 for its final non-conference game of the year. The Cavaliers upset North Carolina on the road last week, but have several problems. The Hoosiers still have a good chance to win and move to 4-2.

The 3:30 p.m. game will be broadcast on ESPN360.com. It's probably safe to call the game a must-win if IU expects to play in a bowl game. The team that played against Michigan will have to make the trip east. The team that played Ohio State will lose.

Saturday, October 3, 2009

IU-Ohio State Pre-game

I still am smarting over last week's loss to Michigan. For a brief minute late in the second half, I thought the Hoosiers would pull it out. My hopes and those of Hoosier nation were not answered that afternoon, but I am hoping the loss doesn't linger.

The IU gauntlet continues at 7 p.m. tonight in Bloomington when Ohio State arrives. It appears the only two advantages the Hoosiers have in this game are their home field, which will be filled with students (it was a sell-out) and the possibility of their opponent underestimating the Hoosiers.

The later is not likely, unless the Ohio State coaching staff decided not to use film of last week's game in their game-planning session. I suspect the Buckeyes are ready for Ben Chappell and the pistol offense. But the Buckeyes have struggled defending spread offenses in the past. Two years ago in Columbus, Illinois' spread offense controlled the game and knocked off the No. 1 team in the country.

Chappell and his receivers must play well and put pressure on the Ohio State defense. Running back Darius Willis will have to produce again this week.

It is the OSU offense that will play the biggest role. Can defensive ends Greg Middleton and Jammie Kirlew put Buckeye QB Terrelle Pryor down on the turf? Or better yet, can they keep him in the pocket and take away his speed in the open field? Pryor is much more vulnerable throwing from the pocket, which is not his strength.

Ohio State is an 18-point favorite. I can't predict an IU upset, which likely would be the biggest win in school history. I suspect this game will mirror the 1996 game, one I witnessed. The Hoosiers stayed in the game for more than three quarters, but ultimately lost. The Buckeyes will win this game, but not by 18.

Score: 28-17

Sunday, September 20, 2009

Prediction adjustments Part II: Hoosiers may go bowling

After three weeks, the Hoosiers prospects for this season appear to be getting better. At 3-0, Indiana will face their toughest opponent so far: undefeated Michigan at the Big House.

The next two weeks don't appear promising. After heading to Ann Arbor, Mich., Ohio State comes to Bloomington. But after those two games, there may be another three or four wins out there. Dare I say it: Indiana may play in a bowl game this year. A far cry from my opinion heading into the season.

In week six, the Hoosiers play at Virginia, which I thought would be a sure loss. But Virginia has been awful so far this season. The Cavaliers are 0-3, including an opening week loss at home to William and Mary. After a bye this week, Virginia should lose at North Carolina and be 0-4 when they play IU. While I don't like the Hoosiers coming to town with Virginia still looking for that first win, the Cavs certainly are beatable.

The Hoosiers then get Illinois at home. Before the season began, experts thought the Illini may be a dark horse conference title contender, but after another beating by Missouri and an injury to quarterback Juice Williams, Illinois looks a lot more human.

Then Indiana travels to Evanston, Ill. to take on Northwestern, which lost to Syracuse on Saturday. I thought this was a sure loss as well, but the Wildcats have been anything but impressive since their blow-out of FCS school Townson.

The Bucket Game once again may hold the key to the post-season. Purdue will come to Bloomington and did not look good the last two weeks in losses at Oregon and to Northern Illinois.

That's four more potential wins, another 7-5 season, and almost surely a bowl bid.

None of those four games are locks, especially if the games against Michigan and Ohio State go badly. If IU can maintain some confidence after that difficult two weeks, wins will come. I think it's more likely IU wins three of these four games and finishes 6-6. Then a bowl game is not assured, but it would create some momentum for next year.

Could IU fans actually have expectations heading into the 2010 season?

Saturday, September 19, 2009

Are the Hoosiers a defensive team?

After by far the most impressive performance of the season, the Hoosiers are 3-0 and heading to Ann Arbor, Mich. to open Big Ten play.

Through three non-conference games, it is clear the IU defense has carried the load. But can we call the 2009 Hoosiers a defensive team? It's something that hasn't been said in a long time, if ever.

IU forced four turnovers in its win over Akron, all interceptions. They were stout against the run again, allowing 106 yards, with a big chunk coming with the game well in hand. It appeared throughout the game that except for one big mistake the IU defense was in control. Whenever Akron began mounting a drive, IU forced a turnover. Akron was short-handed at quarterback, but that shouldn't take away from the IU performance.

The big question heading to next week will be whether the Hoosiers' defense can stop the run against a quality Big Ten foe. Michigan is clearly much improved and has a lot of speed on offense. The IU defense will have problems with Tate Forcier and the spread offense. But if they can keep the run game under control, I think they may have a chance to keep the game close. Ben Chappell and the IU offense will have to play well and eliminate the turnovers.

The Hoosiers may need to play a near-perfect game, but I think IU's best game is enough to win at Michigan.

Overall, a dominating performance by the Hoosiers in the 38-21 win over Akron. It's exactly what IU needed with conference play about to begin.

Next week: At Michigan, noon Sept. 26.

Defense dominates third quarter

IU dominated the third quarter with its defense. They forced two interceptions and turned one into a touchdown to take a 24-14 lead heading to the fourth quarter.

The IU offense had three possessions in the third and appeared to be adhering to the same pattern as the previous two games. The first drive resulted in a fumble and the third was a blocked field goal.

Akron still has not been able to mount much offense. They have rushed for 27 yards and passed for 134 through three quarters. The IU defense so far remains the game MVP.

IU takes lead back at end of half

The Hoosiers offense retook the lead late after an otherwise forgettable second quarter. A late touchdown gave IU a 17-14 lead over Akron.

The special teams big plays now are even. Akron blocked an IU punt and recovered in the end zone to go up 14-10. IU responded with a 12-play drive to retake the lead with about 30 seconds left.

Quarterback Ben Chappell lost his rhythm in the second quarter, throwing an interception and completing no passes until the final drive. But he had five completions on that last drive, including the touchdown pass to Mitchell Evans.

IU coach Bill Lynch threw in a new wrinkle by using Evans at quarterback in the first half. He played pretty well, completing two passes for 12 yards. He also has four catches for 43 yards.

Overall, the offense looked pretty good. The running game has been exceptional and has sustained most of the Hoosiers' drives. IU running backs are averaging 4.3 yards per carry, which is really impressive.

The defense also has largely clamped down on the Zips, with the exception of the one touchdown catch by Deryn Bowser. Akron had 100 total yards in the half and 49 came on Bowser's touchdown catch. The IU defense allowed only four yards rushing in the half.

The halftime adjustments once again will be crucial. The last two weeks, IU's opponents have been successful at controlling the Hoosier offense in the second half. The IU offense has to be prepared to score some more points to hang on.

In-game updates on Twitter.

Hoosiers lead 10-7 after first quarter

The Hoosiers offense looked in sync in the first quarter, but a defensive lapse has made sure Akron remains in the game.

IU rushed for 47 yards and passed for 67 in the first quarter, but the big play came on the opening kickoff, when Ray Fisher ran it back 91 yards for a touchdown.

I've been impressed with the IU running game so far. The line appears to be opening the holes and the backs are hitting them. The Hoosiers also were 4-5 on third down, which is encouraging.

Unfortunately, one defensive lapse gave the Zips an easy touchdown. A missed tackle allowed Akron wide receiver Deryn Bowser to score a 49-yard touchdown. He is the only Akron receiver with a catch so far.

Indiana v. Akron: Pregame thoughts

The Hoosiers will be the underdog on the road against Akron today. The early line gave the Hoosiers 4 1/2 points.

According to my friend LaMond Pope, who covers the Hoosiers for the Fort Wayne Journal Gazette, Akron has not allowed a a point in its last six quarters. Of course, four of those quarters came against Morgan State. The first two quarters came against Penn State, when the team was already down 31-0.

Statistically, Akron and Indiana are nearly identical so far this season. Akron has scored 24 points per game, Indiana 21. The Hoosiers allowed 16 points per game, Akron 15.5.

The Zips offense has been pretty balanced so far, with a few more passing yards per game. The team's defensive problem appears to be in the passing game. Akron has allowed 232.5 yards per game through the air. That's still better than IU, which has allowed 272 yards passing per game.

The IU defense will have to take advantage of a depleted Akron offense. Starting quarterback Chris Jacquemain will not play after being suspended indefinitely.

Game is on ESPNU or 100.1 FM radio in Fort Wayne.

Saturday, September 12, 2009

Hoosiers move to 2-0

Yes, that is not a typo. IU beat Western Michigan 23-19 in Bloomington to remain undefeated.

Western Michigan was about to take the lead late, however. The Hoosiers defense helped by committing three major penalties -- a late hite, pass interference and facemask -- that sustained the Broncos drive. But Greg Middleton forced and then recovered a fumble with Western Michigan about 10 yards away. IU could not run out the clock, thanks in part to a penalty, but took a safety and then held Western Michigan in the final seconds to secure the win.

I have to say I'm surprised at how the IU defense has stepped up late in the game two weeks in a row. It seems like they have to play better to compete on the Big Ten stage, but if they keep making big plays with the game on the line, they should be just fine.

The IU running game looked much better this week, accumulating 187 yards, including a 59 yard run for a touchdown by Demetrius McCray. Maybe more importantly, IU committed no turnovers.

Ben Chappell did not have his best game: 185 yards passing and no touchdowns, but he did enough to win. I'm still worried about the IU offense in the second half. It fell asleep again in the second half, scoring only 6 points.

The IU defense allowed only 22 yards rushing, which is impressive. The Hoosiers' defensive identity appears to be a bend-but-don't-break style. But the unit is able to get pressure on the quarterback and force turnovers.

Overall, a much better performance than last week.

Next up: At Akron, Sept. 19. The Hoosiers could head to Ann Arbor 3-0...

IU looks good on both sides of the ball

The Hoosiers lead Western Michigan 10-0 early in the second quarter.

I've been impressed with how the IU offense has started the game again. There appears to be some semblance of a running game as well, which is promising. The question remains whether the team will remain consistent in the second half. Last week Eastern Kentucky made an adjustment at halftime and held the Hoosiers scoreless the rest of the game.

The touchdown drive that finished early in the second was impressive, including Ben Chappell's two sneaks to get into the end zone.

While we already knew the IU offense was in gear, I'm more impressed with the IU defense so far. Western Michigan has 21 total yards through the first quarter. QB Tim Hiller, who was expected to have a big game, hasn't done much of anything.

The big key so far is the Broncos lack of running game. As I write this, a rush for 6 yards by WMU gets them near 0 net yards on the ground for the game. There are about 11 minutes left in the half.

The Broncos were moving the ball a little better after the IU touchdown. The IU defense now must make an adjustment.

IU-Western Michigan early thoughts

The big surprise heading into this game was that IU was the favorite. The Hoosiers were a 1-point favorite this morning.

Early in the first quarter, the IU offense seemed to be clicking, but stalled in the red zone. The running game was not able to get it done inside the 10 yard line and a fade in the corner of the end zone was not successful. IU still was able to salvage a field goal.

The defense held the supposedly potent Bronco offense in check on their first drive, thanks to a huge tackle for a loss. The Broncos have -9 yards rushing nearing the end of the quarter.

We'll see if that holds up...

Monday, September 7, 2009

Prediction adjustments following Week 1

After watching the Hoosiers get an unconvincing win in Week 1 and seeing some actual game action, I want to make some adjustments to the season prediction.

I was correct in saying the IU-Eastern Kentucky game would be close. Looking ahead to Week 2 against Western Michigan, after predicting a loss at first, I think now the Hoosiers could get a win. The Broncos were routed by Michigan on Saturday, 31-7. Western Michigan's offense never got started and scored its only points late in the fourth quarter. The Wolverines offense ran up nearly 300 yards total offense in the first half.

That is encouraging for the Hoosiers, who had trouble stopping the EKU pistol offense last week. If the defense can contain the Broncos and the offense can get going, WMU may fall to 0-2 on Saturday.

Unfortunately, after watching Michigan, I don't think the Hoosiers are going to break the losing streak in the Big House this year. Michigan looked and played like the West Virginia teams coach Rich Rodriguez built. The Michigan offense looks as if it would overwhelm the Hoosiers defense.

Penn State smoked Akron on Saturday as well, making me more confident the Hoosiers should be favored to win their game there. And surprisingly, Virginia lost to William and Mary 26-14, creating more confidence that expected loss could turn to a win.

I still can't say the Hoosiers' record will improve over the 4-8 record I predicted. A win at Virginia would push the record to 5-7, but Purdue looked sharp in its win over Toledo, 52-31, leading me to wonder whether that win will come to end the season.

Week 1 inspired some confidence in the Hoosiers prospects this season, but it also issued some more challenges. Ultimately, it should not change the outcome: 4-8 is still the expectation.

Thursday, September 3, 2009

Hoosiers win, but it's not pretty

After scoring two touchdowns, a field goal and a safety in the first half, the Hoosiers are shut out in the second, yet still hold on to win by six, 19-13. The key play was a forced fumble on the goal line by the Hoosier defense that preserved the six-point lead.

But the Hoosier offense fell asleep in the second half, which will be a major problem this season if not fixed.

Ben Chappell had a decent day, throwing for 327 yards and a touchdown, but also had two interceptions. I was really impressed with the IU receivers, who surprised me with some of their catches and speed. Doss, Belcher and Turner appear able to run after the catch and aren't afraid to make a catch in front of a defensive back.

Something has to be done about the running game. The Hoosiers rushed for 73 yards, averaging 2.4 yards per carry. It caused real problems trying to run the clock out late in the game.

It was an ugly win, but as they say, it still counts. However, this performance will not beat any Big Ten team.

Next week: Western Michigan comes to Bloomington at noon Sept. 12.

Hoosiers still lead after third, 19-13

EKU crept closer in the third quarter and exposed some weaknesses in the Hoosiers defense.

The defense allowed a 36-yard run on 3rd and 11 that eventually led to a field goal. The only good news is instead of touchdowns, the Hoosiers are holding the Colonels to field goals.

And while the EKU offense is improving in the second half, the IU offense is sputtering. Chappell only threw for about 25 yards, including one interception. The Hoosiers now have three turnovers in the game.

I hope IU's defenders aren't tiring, because they need to step up in the final quarter.

IU up by 9 at halftime

Indiana leads Eastern Kentucky 19-10 at halftime. I'm starting to believe, just a little bit.

The IU offense is clicking. Maybe that's because EKU's defense is not a Big Ten calibre unit, but I'm starting to wonder if the Hoosiers could give a few more teams fits this season.

It's the speed on the outside that's impressive. Tandon Doss is the prime example. Doss has accounted for a huge chunk of the IU passing game with 7 catches and 117 yards receiving. Quarterback Ben Chappell has thrown for 214 yards.

The only bone I have to pick is it seems like IU is dominating this game on both sides of the ball, yet only leads by nine points. The Hoosiers gave EKU seven easy points on a blow coverage and then held them to a field goal after EKU returned a punt inside the 20 yard line.

The offense has to keep the foot on the pedal in the second half. Hopefully, the defense will tighten up as well.

The box score is available here.

First Quarter: IU leads

The Hoosiers lead Eastern Kentucky 9-7 after the first quarter.

The defense forcing a safety was a welcome change from last season, especially after the offense turned the ball over on its first series. Other than the one big mistake, the defense played pretty well. They only gave up 67 yards of total offense, all of it coming on one pass completion.

Offensively, the wide receivers have been impressive. There is some speed there, among Terrance Turner and Tandon Doss, and Damarlo Belcher made a heck of a catch on 3rd and long to keep a drive going. The running game has been at least servicable, but it's clear the Hoosiers' strength is going to be in the passing game. Chappell threw for 112 yards in the quarter.

Hoosiers still driving in EKU territory to start the second quarter.

Pre-game meal

We are less than 45 minutes until kick-off of Indiana-Eastern Kentucky. Here is an interesting story to chew on while you wait for the game to start. Interesting trends for both teams are here.

I'll be providing commentary throughout the game here and on Twitter as the need warrants.